Fading ink in the China Daily: the decline of print media

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Print or screen?
The China Daily today published a report about the decline of Chinese newspaper advertising revenues, without mentioning anything about its own operations. The article opens with a quote from 25-year old office worker Ren Xin, who says "Subscribing to a newspaper? Wow, that is my Dad's job".

The article is worth reading and contains a lot of interesting statistics, including the following:

- China has more than 100 million Internet users [more than 110 million was the last official count noted by Danwei at the end of 2005]

- 67.9 per cent of Chinese Internet users listed news as the most-used Web service [from survey by China Information Network Centre (CNNIC)]

- The World Cup section of leading Chinese Internet portal, Sohu.com, generated about 40 million yuan (US$5 million) during the event. From the article:

Chen Tong, senior vice-president of ... Sina Corp, says his firm earned much more. He declined to reveal the figure, but adds that the country's top cellular operator, China Mobile, alone paid 10 million yuan (US$1.25 million) for a title sponsorship of the World Cup section. Similarly, Chinese home appliance giant Haier had a similar sponsorship on Sohu's World Cup section by paying 2.5 million yuan (US$312,000).

In stark contrast, GoalChina, the most widely read newspaper by Chinese soccer fans, reportedly secured only 20 million yuan (US$2.5 million) in ad sales linked to the World Cup.

- Newspaper ads sales fell by 5.1 per cent in 2004, and by 16.5 per cent in magazines compared with an average growth of 20 per cent in the previous 20 years. These figures are from The Blue Book of China's Media by Tsinghua professor Cui Baoguo. "Cui estimates that the ad sales of China's major newspapers in the first half of 2005 dropped by an average of more than 15 per cent year-on-year."

- Hong Kong-listed Beijing Media, the advertising unit of popular Beijing Youth Daily, saw its net profit in 2005 drop by 94.8 per cent to 10.09 million yuan (US$1.28 million). From the article: "Tian Kewu, managing Editor-in-Chief of Beijing Youth Daily, says the newspaper has been hurt by the rapid rise of Internet media like Sina Corp in the past few years."

- According to Shanghai-based iResearch, China's online ad market was worth 3.13 billion yuan (US$391.2 million) last year, up 7.6 times from 2001. The market is forecast to hit 4.6 billion yuan (US$575 million) this year and 15.7 billion yuan (US$1.96 billion) by 2010. The revenues earned by ads agencies are not taken into account. China's total ad market was worth 316 billion yuan (US$39.5 billion), according to Nielsen Media Research.

- By the end of last year, China had more than 16 million bloggers, and 52 per cent of white-collar workers in China keep blogs, according to career consulting firm CBP Career Consultants Co Ltd.

The article does not point out that not all is gloom and doom in the print media industry: with less than a tenth of the population online, and plenty of increasingly wealthy people above the age of 40 who tend not to spend much time online, print media will remain an important advertising channel.

On the same subject, there are some Economist and Financial Times articles about the Internet's increasing importance to the advertising world linked below.

Links and Sources
 
There are currently 3 Comments for Fading ink in the China Daily: the decline of print media.

Comments on Fading ink in the China Daily: the decline of print media

They've never been able to give China Daily away so why would they worry about declining "circulation"? Who ever buys it? The only time I see people reading it is on planes when it is the only English language newspaper available.

Interesting article indeed... I had not read this China Daily article yet while I was writing in another comment earlier today, about "Churches and the market economy" >
Some publishers, contrarily to the sharp decline mentioned here, were still bragging last year, with the FIPP (the world magazine publisher's federation -its big meeting, every 2 years, will be in 2007 in Beijing-), about the growing share of magazines in the overall PRC advertising market. Others at the same time were bragging elsewhere about the PRC advertising market phenomenal growth ...so everyone was growing happily apparently in the print media advertising business ! This was probably in 2005 before the problems of listed Beijing Media (mentioned in this China Daily article) ? Soon after its IPO, this newspaper got involved in an advertising scandal followed by the arrest in Beijing of its advertising top managers (as soon as its new South African large shareholder started to put its nose in the accounts; these ad managers had transferred just before the IPO lucrative advertising contracts to their personal companies -fear of losing the frequent kickbacks in the business probably ?-). This was also probably before the well-know advertising giant Zenith (one of the world leading buying agency more exactly) got fed up by the absence of the usual audits, and started questioning seriously in 2006 the veracity of claimed circulation figures, and rate cards, of top magazine publishers (well, simple, the rule of thumb is that you divide by 4 or 5 these claims; Zenith just paid a lot in surveys just to discover the obvious -just need to bribe a bit the guys at the printers' to know the truth-).
But don't forget, newspapers and magazine belong to very different ad segments. Newspapers (the heavy industry) have ad markets 10 time bigger than magazines (the light industry), but a large part of the newspaper ads is made of small ads (real estate, local services...), what is very different from the glossy ads paid by cosmetic or mobile phone companies to the lifestyle and fashion magazines (against the claim that every rich Chinese is reading them).
I am not too sure about the quality of the data and source used by this "Blue book" ? The usual Nielsen ad count is probably the most reliable source (data can be purchased for each country in the world, including the PRC on Zenith's internet site, about USD 100 for all Asian countries, accept all major credit cards ... I should buy the most recent data to check all these advertising market figures).
Finally, to comment on another comment, I receive everyday in my building for free China Daily, so yes, like many expats, I end up reading it almost every day (easy, takes often less than a minute), because there is little else available, especially everyday for free (its human nature; starving guys in their cells find cockroaches excellent after a while). I have been my own rat lab. I acknowledge that I am brainwashed now and that I finds everything perfect. All negative things said above are lies of course. Long live the publicity department.


(something was missing in above commment)
Interesting article indeed... I had not read this China Daily article yet while I was writing in another comment earlier today, about "Churches and the market economy": "...our present World era is unhappily not very favorable to any cultural enlightenment, anywhere (at least in its classical forms; blogs and video look more like the future; books and press will die soon)."

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